Market Update: Ripple Supports Kamala Harris Amid Crypto FUD
Recent days have seen the crypto market facing several FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt) events that have unsettled investors. Notably, Ripple’s decision to support Kamala Harris' campaign has raised questions, while Tesla confirmed it still holds Bitcoin (BTC), reinforcing its stance as a major corporate backer of the cryptocurrency. Let’s dive deeper into the market’s recent movements and the impact of these events.
Market Overview
On Wednesday, October 23, U.S. stocks saw a downturn, with all three major indices closing lower. However, futures contracts showed slight gains, while gold and oil prices rose marginally, hovering around $2738/ounce and $71.6/barrel respectively.
Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a slight drop, falling to around $66,800. Most altcoins also registered losses, contributing to a total crypto market cap of $2.4 trillion.
On a positive note, BTC spot ETFs in the U.S. experienced net positive inflows on October 23, with $192 million flowing in, primarily driven by BlackRock’s IBIT ETF, while other ETFs saw outflows. Meanwhile, ETH ETFs saw modest inflows of $1.2 million.
In the stock market, the Nasdaq tech index has seen a notable pullback, mirroring Bitcoin’s recent dip. This correction comes after both had enjoyed significant rallies earlier in the year. Investors remain hopeful for further interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, though recent signals indicate the Fed will take a more cautious approach. Rising U.S. Treasury bond yields have also started to draw liquidity away from riskier assets like equities and Bitcoin.
Housing Market Slump and Inflation Fears
Adding to market concerns, the U.S. housing market has shown further signs of weakness. Sales of previously owned homes fell by 1% in September compared to August, reaching an annualized rate of 3.84 million units — the slowest pace since 2010, according to the National Association of Realtors. This decline is largely attributed to high mortgage rates, which currently stand at over 6.5% for 30-year loans.
As bond yields rise, the attractiveness of less risky assets such as government bonds increases, diverting capital from equities and crypto. Additionally, inflation continues to erode the purchasing power of the U.S. dollar, with ongoing concerns about U.S. debt levels and government spending exacerbating these issues.
Tesla Holds Steady on Bitcoin
In Tesla’s Q3 earnings report, the company confirmed it still holds 9,720 BTC, with no additional sales or purchases. This news reassured the market, as Tesla remains one of the most prominent corporate holders of Bitcoin. The announcement helped boost Tesla’s stock by more than 10% in after-hours trading.
Tesla’s decision to maintain its Bitcoin holdings underscores the company's long-term belief in BTC as an asset. Given the volatility of the crypto market, Tesla's commitment signals confidence in Bitcoin’s future as a store of value.
Bernstein Predicts $200,000 Bitcoin
Traditional financial firms like Bernstein and Standard Chartered are increasingly bullish on Bitcoin. Bernstein recently forecasted that Bitcoin could reach $200,000 by the end of 2025, calling this a “conservative” estimate. They argue that Bitcoin’s fixed supply and role as a store of value make it highly attractive in a world of rising national debts and persistent inflation.
Their bullish outlook is echoed by other analysts, who point to Bitcoin's scarcity as a major factor driving its long-term value proposition. With more institutional interest, Bitcoin’s role in investment portfolios is likely to grow.
Ripple’s Support for Kamala Harris: A Strategic Move?
Ripple’s CEO, Brad Garlinghouse, recently made headlines for his significant donation to Kamala Harris’ presidential campaign. When asked why he supported a candidate who has not clearly expressed her stance on crypto regulation, Garlinghouse hinted that the current Biden administration's approach to crypto regulation may be coming to an end. He expressed optimism that the next administration would adopt a more pro-crypto stance, recognizing the industry’s importance to both the U.S. economy and its technological future.
Garlinghouse further pointed out that Republicans have been more proactive in proposing clear regulations for the crypto sector. He cited bipartisan legislation passed in the House of Representatives as evidence that regulatory clarity is coming. Despite his political neutrality, Garlinghouse believes that Harris' campaign is open to revisiting Biden's ineffective policies toward crypto.
Impact of Political Leadership on Crypto
While who becomes the next U.S. president will undoubtedly affect the short-term regulatory environment for crypto, Garlinghouse emphasized that the industry’s long-term growth will continue regardless of the election outcome. He believes that BTC and the broader crypto ecosystem will continue to evolve, becoming more robust and integrated into the global financial system over time.
With Ripple's ongoing legal battle with the SEC, it’s clear that regulatory clarity remains a priority for Garlinghouse and the broader industry. As the U.S. lags behind countries like Switzerland, Singapore, and Japan in establishing clear crypto regulations, a change in the regulatory environment could provide a significant boost to the market.
Michael Saylor Clarifies Bitcoin Custody Remarks
Facing intense backlash from the Bitcoin community, Michael Saylor recently walked back comments suggesting that investors were too worried about self-custody and should trust banks to hold their Bitcoin. He clarified that while self-custody is important for those capable of managing it, freedom of choice regarding storage methods—whether self-custody or through institutional custody—is crucial for Bitcoin's global adoption.
Saylor’s comments came amid heightened concerns about centralization and the role of traditional financial institutions in the future of crypto. His retraction highlights the delicate balance between maintaining Bitcoin’s decentralized ethos and integrating it into the traditional financial system.
Other Key News: Ripple, Stripe, and Yuga Labs
- Binance’s CEO in Nigeria was released after facing charges of money laundering and currency manipulation.
- Aurum Equity Partners launched a $1 billion fund on XRP Ledger, targeting data centers across the U.S., Europe, UAE, and Saudi Arabia. This is the first fund combining equity and tokenized debt, revolutionizing how investments are made and traded.
- Stripe acquired Bridge, a stablecoin payment platform, for $1.1 billion. This acquisition marks Stripe's deeper involvement in the crypto payment sector.
- Yuga Labs introduced Apechain, a Layer-2 solution on Ethereum, built using Arbitrum technology. This will improve Apecoin's utility by offering faster and cheaper transactions while enhancing the APE ecosystem.
Conclusion: Short-Term FUD vs. Long-Term Optimism
Despite the recent wave of FUD, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin and crypto remains overwhelmingly positive. Ripple’s support for Kamala Harris signals potential political shifts that could lead to more favorable regulatory frameworks. At the same time, institutions like Tesla, Bernstein, and BlackRock are demonstrating growing confidence in Bitcoin as a store of value.
While market corrections are natural, Bitcoin’s scarcity, growing institutional adoption, and increasing regulatory clarity are likely to drive its continued rise in value. As always, investors should stay informed, manage risks, and keep an eye on both short-term market dynamics and long-term trends.