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November 13, 2024

Bitcoin Hits a New High, Nears $90K | Has Crypto Surpassed the Chasm?

With Bitcoin reaching new highs near $90,000, explore how the crypto market is evolving, the shifting investor sentiment, and BTC's journey past the adoption chasm.

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Market Overview: A Surge Toward $90K

Bitcoin recently hit a new high, almost reaching the $90,000 mark, sending waves through the crypto market as BTC continues its climb and altcoins see substantial gains.

Stock and Futures Impact

On Monday, November 11, U.S. stocks closed higher across all major indices. However, futures for the Dow and S&P dipped slightly, while Nasdaq futures saw a minor increase. Oil prices fell to $68 per barrel, while gold inched up to $2,630 per ounce.

Bitcoin’s momentum also spilled over into the stock market, with Coinbase and MicroStrategy among the top five most-traded stocks, each surging 18%, just behind Tesla and Nvidia.

Market Cap Growth and Crypto’s Bull Run

Bitcoin's market cap reached a staggering $1.76 trillion, surpassing silver to become the 8th largest global asset. The total crypto market cap surged to $3.14 trillion, fueled by Bitcoin's rally and a sharp rise in altcoins like Dogecoin, which increased by over 100% in the past week and 225% in the last month. Dogecoin’s market cap even surpassed that of Ford, a company with over 121 years of history.

Bitcoin Spot ETFs and Institutional Inflows

The trading volume for U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs on Monday hit $7.22 billion, marking the highest single-day volume since March 14 and the sixth-highest in history. BlackRock’s IBIT led the pack with $4.6 billion in trades, followed by Fidelity’s FBTC, which crossed $1 billion.

Institutional inflows into Bitcoin spot ETFs were also substantial, totaling $1.114 billion, with most ETFs experiencing positive or neutral net flows. Similarly, Ethereum spot ETFs saw robust inflows, accumulating $295 million in positive cash flows since their introduction.

BTC Fever Hits the Mainstream

Major media outlets, including CNBC and Bloomberg, featured Bitcoin on their front pages as the asset reached near the $90,000 milestone, inching closer to the coveted $100,000 mark. This rapid increase, following an extended sideways phase, reflects the typical behavior seen in financial markets: lengthy consolidations followed by sudden price spikes.

MicroStrategy's Continued BTC Accumulation

MicroStrategy, led by Bitcoin advocate Michael Saylor, recently added $2.03 billion in BTC (27,200 BTC) at an average price of $74,463 per Bitcoin. As of November 10, 2024, the company holds 279,420 BTC (approximately $11.9 billion) with an average purchase price of $42,692 per BTC.

Bitcoin's Effect on Stock Market Sentiment

Bitcoin’s rally extended to the stock market, with Coinbase and MicroStrategy among the day’s top-traded stocks. MicroStrategy exemplifies how a company’s BTC accumulation strategy can significantly enhance stock value. Once a low-profile company, MicroStrategy’s long-term BTC strategy since 2020 has fueled its recognition and stock price growth, setting a model for corporate crypto holdings.

Bitcoin and the Chasm: CZ’s Perspective

Former Binance CEO, CZ, highlighted Bitcoin’s journey past the “chasm” phase in the tech adoption cycle.

The technology adoption curve starts with innovators, followed by early adopters, who make up 2.5% of all users. The chasm represents a critical phase that many technologies fail to cross, leading to mainstream adoption by early majorities and, eventually, more conservative users.

CZ believes BTC has crossed this critical threshold, signaling that crypto is ready to gain mainstream acceptance. More institutions are increasingly entering the crypto space, either through direct BTC purchases or via products like ETFs, reinforcing Bitcoin’s transition from a niche asset to a widely accepted investment.

Widespread Institutional Support

The momentum is further supported by Bernstein, a global asset manager with $800 billion under management, which recently advised clients to embrace the crypto bull market, saying, “Welcome to the crypto bull market. Buy as much as you can and increase exposure as soon as possible.”

The Paradox of Investor Sentiment

Investor behavior often appears paradoxical in crypto markets. When positive news drives prices up, fear of missing out (FOMO) often leads investors to buy. Conversely, during market downturns, even with negative news, investors often accumulate assets out of fear that prices will soon rise again. This seesaw sentiment characterizes Bitcoin's market and fuels its often sudden, steep price climbs, followed by potential corrections.

Other Industry Highlights

  • Bitcoin ETF Demand: Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas noted continued Bitcoin ETF inflows, likening Bitcoin to “gold but with added benefits.”
  • Potential Regulatory Easing: JPMorgan indicated that Trump may relax regulations around Bitcoin and crypto, which would benefit banks interested in entering the crypto market, though current legal barriers remain a concern.
  • Tether Dominance: Tether (USDT) has increased supply by 34.27% year-to-date, reaching a market cap of $123.17 billion. Despite competition from emerging stablecoins, USDT remains dominant, representing $81 billion of $104.28 billion in daily trading volume.
  • Strategic Reserve Potential: Partners at R360, a high-net-worth community, voiced support for Bitcoin, considering it a potential national strategic reserve asset.
  • ENS Labs Namechain: ENS Labs announced a new Layer 2 network, Namechain, expected in 2025. Using zero-knowledge rollups, Namechain aims to lower gas fees by compressing data before pushing it to Ethereum’s mainnet.
  • Ledger Technical Issues: Ledger Live is currently experiencing technical issues with Bitcoin transactions, affecting transaction sending, balance viewing, and history updates.
  • Crypto Kidnapping Incident: Crypto investor Viacheslav Leibov was attacked and coerced into transferring $250,000 in USDT during a kidnapping incident, highlighting the rising security concerns for crypto investors.

Conclusion: Has Crypto Surpassed the Chasm?

With Bitcoin consistently breaking records, it's evident that crypto has moved beyond early adopters and is entering mainstream acceptance. As more institutions and high-profile investors jump into crypto, Bitcoin’s role as a major asset is solidifying. However, this rapid growth phase also suggests potential for correction. Investors are advised to stay vigilant and consider both opportunities and risks.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a financial professional before making investment decisions.

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